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Simon Harris’s Fine Gael party and coalition partner Fianna Fail are likely to return to government after the recent Irish election. However, the prime minister, Harris, may face a challenge to maintain his position due to a decline in his popular support. While the official results are still being counted, early tallies and exit polls show a close competition between the incumbent parties and the opposition Sinn Fein. As no single party has the majority to govern alone, it is expected that the current status quo will persist as both Fine Gael and Fianna Fail have ruled out forming a government with Sinn Fein.

Despite the ongoing counting process, it is uncertain whether Harris will have the upper hand in negotiations with Fianna Fail. Micheal Martin’s party appears to have garnered the most first-preference votes, indicating a stronger position for them in potential talks. The election results are crucial as the next government will have to manage a budget surplus and rising tax revenues from US companies like Apple. The focus of the election has been on how to allocate Ireland’s funds, with different parties proposing various spending initiatives.

One of the significant shifts in Irish politics has been the rise of Sinn Fein, led by Mary Lou McDonald. The party’s left-leaning agenda has resonated with voters concerned about housing shortages and high living costs. While Sinn Fein’s support has increased, they still face challenges in forming a coalition government without the backing of Fine Gael or Fianna Fail. The emergence of Sinn Fein has disrupted the longstanding dominance of Fianna Fail and Fine Gael in Irish politics, signaling a potential shift in the country’s political landscape.

As the election results continue to unfold, smaller parties like the Social Democrats and Labour are expected to gain seats, while the Green Party may experience losses. The final composition of the parliament will determine the direction of coalition negotiations in the coming days. Despite the uncertainty surrounding the formation of the next government, the Irish electorate’s priorities, such as housing and homelessness, will play a crucial role in shaping the country’s political future.